Document of bibliographic reference 241043

BibliographicReference record

Type

Bibliographic resource

Type of document

Journal article

BibLvlCode

AS

Title

Systematic testing of an integrated systems model for coastal zone management using sensitivity and uncertainty analyses

Abstract

Systematic testing of integrated systems models is extremely important but its difficulty is widely underestimated. The inherent complexity of the integrated systems models, the philosophical debate about the model validity and validation, the uncertainty in model inputs, parameters and future context and the scarcity of field data complicate model validation. This calls for a validation framework and procedures which can identify the strengths and weaknesses of the model with the available data from observations, the literature and experts’ opinions. This paper presents such a framework and the respective procedure. Three tests, namely, Parameter-Verification, Behaviour-Anomaly and Policy-Sensitivity are selected to test a Rapid assessment Model for Coastal-zone Management (RaMCo). The Morris sensitivity analysis, a simple expert elicitation technique and Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis are used to facilitate these three tests. The usefulness of the procedure is demonstrated for two examples.

WebOfScience code

https://www.webofscience.com/wos/woscc/full-record/WOS:000248233200003

Bibliographic citation

Nguyen, T.G.; de Kok, J.-L. (2007). Systematic testing of an integrated systems model for coastal zone management using sensitivity and uncertainty analyses. Environ. Model. Softw. 22(11): 1572-1587. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2006.08.008

Topic

Marine

Is peer reviewed

true