Document of bibliographic reference 295133

BibliographicReference record

Type
Bibliographic resource
Type of document
Reports
Type of document
Project report
BibLvlCode
MS
Title
Morphodynamic modeling of the Scheldt estuary and its mouth: Effects of sea level rise
Abstract
The morphology of the Scheldt estuary and its mouth varies as a result of natural evolution and human impacts. Particularly sea level rise has become an important driver for policy makers dealing with the long-term management of this area. The overall aim of this report is to increase fundamental knowledge of effects of sea level rise on the morphodynamic evolution of the Scheldt estuarine system, using the coupled Delft3D-SWAN morphodynamic model of Nnafie et al., 2017b. The impacts of different rates of sea level rise, as well as the impact of a time-varying tidal forcing on this evolution are also addressed.

Model results indicate that a rising sea level at a rate of 2 mm/yr results in an slight landward retreat of the ebb-tidal delta of the mouth area, whereby channels and shoals undergo increased sedimenta tion over time (0.25 mm/yr on average). This sedimentation is the result of increased sand import from the offshore areas. The latter changes become stronger with increasing rate of sea level rise. In the Western Scheldt estuary, a rising sea level rather causes the redistribution of sand in this area, such that sand is deposited on the shoals and tidal flats. The overall sedimentation rate in the latter area is 0.15 mm/yr. Higher rates of SLR increase sedimentation on the shoals, which is mostly provided through deepening of channels and the reduction of the sand loss to the mouth area.

In the case that the amplitude of tidal currents remains fixed in time, sedimentation rates in the mouth and the Western Scheldt are too small for these areas to keep up with the rising sea level, which eventually might lead to the drowing of the estuarine system. However, the inclusion of stronger tidal currents increases sedimentation rates on the shoals, and it increases the volume of the deep channels, thereby counteracting the drowning of the estuarine system caused by SLR. These results suggest that the observed increasing tidal amplitudes in this area, most likely resulting from the rising sea level, is crucial for the estuarine system to keep pace with the rising sea level.

Bibliographic citation
Nnafie, A.; De Maerschalck, B.; Vanlede, J.; Schramkowski, G.; Mostaert, F. (2018). Morphodynamic modeling of the Scheldt estuary and its mouth: Effects of sea level rise. Version 2.0. FHR reports, 14_094_8. Flanders Hydraulics Research: Antwerp. VII, 21 pp.

Authors

author
Name
Abdel Nnafie
Identifier
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4459-5427
author
Name
Bart De Maerschalck
Identifier
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7730-0659
author
Name
Joris Vanlede
Identifier
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7348-4603
author
Name
George Schramkowski
Identifier
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2120-1085
Affiliation
Vlaamse overheid; Beleidsdomein Mobiliteit en Openbare Werken; Vlaams Ministerie Mobiliteit en Openbare Werken; Departement Mobiliteit en Openbare Werken; Waterbouwkundig Laboratorium
author
Name
Frank Mostaert
Identifier
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8585-5056

thesaurus terms

term
Channels (term code: 1461 - defined in term set: ASFA Thesaurus List)
Current velocities and patterns (term code: 169960 - defined in term set: WL Kennisdomein)
Numerical modelling (term code: 169920 - defined in term set: WL Kennisdomein types)
Sedimentation (term code: 7401 - defined in term set: ASFA Thesaurus List)
Shoals (term code: 7619 - defined in term set: ASFA Thesaurus List)
Tides (term code: 169958 - defined in term set: WL Kennisdomein)
Turbulence (term code: 169966 - defined in term set: WL Kennisdomein)
Water levels (term code: 169961 - defined in term set: WL Kennisdomein)

Other terms

other terms associated with this publication
Sea level rise

geographic terms

geographic terms associated with this publication
Scheldt Estuary

Document metadata

date created
2018-04-30
date modified
2020-07-01