{"refrec":{"BRefID":296109,"RR":"<b>Catry, T.; Ramos, J.A.; Monticelli, D.; Bowler, J.; Jupiter, T.; Le Corre, M.</b> (2009). Demography and conservation of the White-tailed Tropicbird <i>Phaethon lepturus</i> on Aride Island, Western Indian Ocean. <i>Journ. Ornithol. 150(3)</i>: 661-669. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10336-009-0389-z\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10336-009-0389-z</a>","BEntID":288198,"PublicFlag":1,"CheckedFlag":1,"wosflag":1,"vabbflag":0,"RefStringPartII":". <i>Journ. Ornithol. 150(3)</i>: 661-669. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10336-009-0389-z\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10336-009-0389-z</a>","DocTypID":8,"DocType":"Journal article","MarineFlag":1,"FreshFlag":0,"BrackishFlag":0,"TerrestrialFlag":0,"Authorstring":"Catry, T.; Ramos, J.A.; Monticelli, D.; Bowler, J.; Jupiter, T.; Le Corre, M.","OrigTitleTranslFlag":0,"Authorstringtrunc":"Catry, T. <i>et al.</i>","Englishabstract":"The White-tailed Tropicbird <i>Phaethon lepturus</i> breeding population of Aride Island, Seychelles, has experienced a strong decline in the recent past. To predict the future trends of the White-tailed Tropicbird population on Aride Island and understand the urgency of applying management procedures, we developed a population matrix model. We estimated White-tailed Tropicbird adult survival rate over a 12-year period and investigated whether oceanographic conditions (El Niño Southern Oscillation, ENSO, and inter-annual climate variability in the Indian Ocean, Indian Ocean Dipole, IOD) or local factors (<i>Pisonia grandis</i> fruiting events) potentially affect adult survival. Annual adult survival could not be linked to inter-annual variability in oceanographic conditions, but may be more influenced by <i>Pisonia</i> fruiting events, which, overall, accounts for 23.2% of the adult mortality. The growth rate of the population, primarily influenced by annual adult survival, was estimated to be 0.946, which indicates an annual population decline of 5.4%. At the current rate, the probability of extinction of this population would be 99% in 170 years. Management scenarios studied through Monte Carlo simulations, assuming small increments in adult survival and/or breeding success, dramatically reduce the risk of extinction of White-tailed Tropicbirds. Habitat management, in order to maintain an open canopy and little understorey vegetation, appears to be crucial for the conservation of White-tailed Tropicbirds on Aride Island, as has already been shown for other ground-nesting tropical seabirds nesting on forested islands.","AbstractOtherLang":null,"BibLvlCode":"AS","StandardTitle":"Demography and conservation of the White-tailed Tropicbird <i>Phaethon lepturus</i> on Aride Island, Western Indian Ocean","OrigTitleLangCode":"en","OrigTitleLangCodeExtended":"eng","OrigTitleLangID":15,"DateLastModified":{"date":"2026-04-19 01:31:55.047142","timezone_type":1,"timezone":"+02:00"},"UserAccessRight":null,"UserAccID":null,"AuthorKeywords":"Adult survival; Habitat management; Mark-recapture model; Populationmatrix model; White-tailed Tropicbird","OtherDescriptors":null,"Notes":null,"AnaPub":2009,"MonPub":null,"DateUpdate":"2022-05-03","DateCreate":"2018-05-15","SecASFANote":null,"ConfID":null,"PeerRev":1,"VlizCoreFlag":1,"WoScode":"WOS:000267394400015","VABBcode":null,"OpenAcc":0,"DOI":"10.1007/s10336-009-0389-z"},"refs":null,"anarec":{"AnaID":296109,"PubliDate":2009,"Pagination":"661-669","XtraPublOfAnaID":null,"ISBN":null,"Volume":"150","Issue":"3","BRefMon":null,"BRefMonRR":null,"BRefXtra":null,"BRefXtraRR":null,"SerBRefID":232879,"SerRR":"Journal für Ornithologie. 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