{"refrec":{"BRefID":316640,"RR":"<b>Morim, J.; Hemer, M.; Wang, X.L.; Cartwright, N.; Trenham, C.; Semedo, A.; Young, I.; Bricheno, L.; Camus, P.; Casas-Prat, M.; Erikson, L.; Mentaschi, L.; Mori, N.; Shimura, T.; Timmermans, B.; Aarnes, O.; Breivik, Ø.; Behrens, A.; Dobrynin, M.; Menendez, M.; Staneva, J.; Wehner, F.; Wehner, M.; Wolf, J.; Kamranzad, B.; Webb, A.; Stopa, J.; Andutta, F.</b> (2019). Robustness and uncertainties in global multivariate wind-wave climate projections. <i>Nat. Clim. Chang. 9(9)</i>: 711–718. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0542-5\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0542-5</a>","BEntID":309706,"PublicFlag":1,"CheckedFlag":0,"wosflag":1,"vabbflag":1,"RefStringPartII":". <i>Nat. Clim. Chang. 9(9)</i>: 711–718. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0542-5\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0542-5</a>","DocTypID":8,"DocType":"Journal article","MarineFlag":0,"FreshFlag":0,"BrackishFlag":0,"TerrestrialFlag":0,"Authorstring":"Morim, J.; Hemer, M.; Wang, X.L.; Cartwright, N.; Trenham, C.; Semedo, A.; Young, I.; Bricheno, L.; Camus, P.; Casas-Prat, M.; Erikson, L.; Mentaschi, L.; Mori, N.; Shimura, T.; Timmermans, B.; Aarnes, O.; Breivik, Ø.; Behrens, A.; Dobrynin, M.; Menendez, M.; Staneva, J.; Wehner, F.; Wehner, M.; Wolf, J.; Kamranzad, B.; Webb, A.; Stopa, J.; Andutta, F.","OrigTitleTranslFlag":0,"Authorstringtrunc":"Morim, J. <i>et al.</i>","Englishabstract":"Understanding climate-driven impacts on the multivariate global wind-wave climate is paramount to effective offshore/coastal climate adaptation planning. However, the use of single-method ensembles and variations arising from different methodologies has resulted in unquantified uncertainty amongst existing global wave climate projections. Here, assessing the first coherent, community-driven, multi-method ensemble of global wave climate projections, we demonstrate widespread ocean regions with robust changes in annual mean significant wave height and mean wave period of 5–15% and shifts in mean wave direction of 5–15°, under a high-emission scenario. Approximately 50% of the world’s coastline is at risk from wave climate change, with ~40% revealing robust changes in at least two variables. Furthermore, we find that uncertainty in current projections is dominated by climate model-driven uncertainty, and that single-method modelling studies are unable to capture up to ~50% of the total associated uncertainty.","AbstractOtherLang":null,"BibLvlCode":"AS","StandardTitle":"Robustness and uncertainties in global multivariate wind-wave climate projections","OrigTitleLangCode":"en","OrigTitleLangCodeExtended":"eng","OrigTitleLangID":15,"DateLastModified":{"date":"2026-06-15 01:33:19.521651","timezone_type":1,"timezone":"+02:00"},"UserAccessRight":null,"UserAccID":null,"AuthorKeywords":null,"OtherDescriptors":null,"Notes":null,"AnaPub":2019,"MonPub":null,"DateUpdate":"2019-09-04","DateCreate":"2019-09-04","SecASFANote":null,"ConfID":null,"PeerRev":1,"VlizCoreFlag":1,"WoScode":"WOS:000483551700023","VABBcode":null,"OpenAcc":0,"DOI":"10.1038/s41558-019-0542-5"},"refs":null,"anarec":{"AnaID":316640,"PubliDate":2019,"Pagination":"711–718","XtraPublOfAnaID":null,"ISBN":null,"Volume":"9","Issue":"9","BRefMon":null,"BRefMonRR":null,"BRefXtra":null,"BRefXtraRR":null,"SerBRefID":218223,"SerRR":"Nature Climate Change. 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