{"refrec":{"BRefID":330076,"RR":"<b>Pandolfi, J.M.; Staples, T.L.; Kiessling, W.</b> (2020). Increased extinction in the emergence of novel ecological communities. <i>Science (Wash.) 370(6513)</i>: 220-222. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.abb3996\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.abb3996</a>","BEntID":323686,"PublicFlag":1,"CheckedFlag":0,"wosflag":1,"vabbflag":1,"RefStringPartII":". <i>Science (Wash.) 370(6513)</i>: 220-222. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.abb3996\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.abb3996</a>","DocTypID":8,"DocType":"Journal article","MarineFlag":0,"FreshFlag":0,"BrackishFlag":0,"TerrestrialFlag":0,"Authorstring":"Pandolfi, J.M.; Staples, T.L.; Kiessling, W.","OrigTitleTranslFlag":0,"Authorstringtrunc":"Pandolfi, J.M.; Staples, T.L.; Kiessling, W.","Englishabstract":"Environmental change is transforming ecological assemblages into new configurations, resulting in novel communities. We developed a robust methodology to detect novel communities, examine patterns of emergence, and quantify probabilities of local demographic turnover in transitions to and from novel communities. Using a global dataset of Cenozoic marine plankton communities, we found that the probability of local extinction, origination, and emigration during transitions to a novel community increased two to four times that of background community changes. Although rare, novel communities were five times more likely than chance to shift into another novel state. 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