{"refrec":{"BRefID":345023,"RR":"<b>Jueterbock, A.; Smolina, I.; Coyer, J.A.; Hoarau, G.</b> (2016). The fate of the Arctic seaweed <i>Fucus distichus</i> under climate change: an ecological niche modeling approach. <i>Ecol. Evol. 6(6)</i>: 1712-1724. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ece3.2001\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ece3.2001</a>","BEntID":341658,"PublicFlag":1,"CheckedFlag":0,"wosflag":1,"vabbflag":0,"RefStringPartII":". <i>Ecol. Evol. 6(6)</i>: 1712-1724. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ece3.2001\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ece3.2001</a>","DocTypID":8,"DocType":"Journal article","MarineFlag":1,"FreshFlag":0,"BrackishFlag":0,"TerrestrialFlag":0,"Authorstring":"Jueterbock, A.; Smolina, I.; Coyer, J.A.; Hoarau, G.","OrigTitleTranslFlag":0,"Authorstringtrunc":"Jueterbock, A. <i>et al.</i>","Englishabstract":"Rising temperatures are predicted to melt all perennial ice cover in the Arctic by the end of this century, thus opening up suitable habitat for temperate and subarctic species. Canopy-forming seaweeds provide an ideal system to predict the potential impact of climate-change on rocky-shore ecosystems, given their direct dependence on temperature and their key role in the ecological system. Our primary objective was to predict the climate-change induced range-shift of <i>Fucus distichus</i>, the dominant canopy-forming macroalga in the Arctic and subarctic rocky intertidal. More specifically, we asked: which Arctic/subarctic and cold-temperate shores of the northern hemisphere will display the greatest distributional change of <i>F</i>.&nbsp;<i>distichus</i> and how will this affect niche overlap with seaweeds from temperate regions? We used the program MAXENT to develop correlative ecological niche models with dominant range-limiting factors and 169 occurrence records. Using three climate-change scenarios, we projected habitat suitability of <i>F</i>.&nbsp;<i>distichus</i> – and its niche overlap with three dominant temperate macroalgae – until year 2200. Maximum sea surface temperature was identified as the most important factor in limiting the fundamental niche of <i>F</i>.&nbsp;<i>distichus</i>. Rising temperatures were predicted to have low impact on the species' southern distribution limits, but to shift its northern distribution limits poleward into the high Arctic. In cold-temperate to subarctic regions, new areas of niche overlap were predicted between <i>F</i>.&nbsp;<i>distichus</i> and intertidal macroalgae immigrating from the south. While climate-change threatens intertidal seaweeds in warm-temperate regions, seaweed meadows will likely flourish in the Arctic intertidal. Although this enriches biodiversity and opens up new seaweed-harvesting grounds, it will also trigger unpredictable changes in the structure and functioning of the Arctic intertidal ecosystem.","AbstractOtherLang":null,"BibLvlCode":"AS","StandardTitle":"The fate of the Arctic seaweed <i>Fucus distichus</i> under climate change: an ecological niche modeling approach","OrigTitleLangCode":"en","OrigTitleLangCodeExtended":"eng","OrigTitleLangID":15,"DateLastModified":{"date":"2026-04-29 01:32:43.667740","timezone_type":1,"timezone":"+02:00"},"UserAccessRight":null,"UserAccID":null,"AuthorKeywords":null,"OtherDescriptors":null,"Notes":null,"AnaPub":2016,"MonPub":null,"DateUpdate":"2021-09-20","DateCreate":"2021-09-20","SecASFANote":null,"ConfID":null,"PeerRev":1,"VlizCoreFlag":1,"WoScode":"WOS:000372488300013","VABBcode":null,"OpenAcc":1,"DOI":"10.1002/ece3.2001"},"refs":null,"anarec":{"AnaID":345023,"PubliDate":2016,"Pagination":"1712-1724","XtraPublOfAnaID":null,"ISBN":null,"Volume":"6","Issue":"6","BRefMon":null,"BRefMonRR":null,"BRefXtra":null,"BRefXtraRR":null,"SerBRefID":212989,"SerRR":"Ecology and Evolution. 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