{"refrec":{"BRefID":355448,"RR":"<b>Box, J.E.; Hubbard, A.; Bahr, D.B.; Colgan, W.T.; Fettweis, X.; Mankoff, K.D.; Wehrlé, A.; Noël, B.; van den Broeke, M.R.; Wouters, B.; Björk, A.A.; Fausto, R.S.</b> (2022). Greenland ice sheet climate disequilibrium and committed sea-level rise. <i>Nat. Clim. Chang. 12(9)</i>: 808-813. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01441-2\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01441-2</a>","BEntID":353161,"PublicFlag":1,"CheckedFlag":0,"wosflag":1,"vabbflag":1,"RefStringPartII":". <i>Nat. Clim. Chang. 12(9)</i>: 808-813. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01441-2\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01441-2</a>","DocTypID":8,"DocType":"Journal article","MarineFlag":1,"FreshFlag":0,"BrackishFlag":0,"TerrestrialFlag":0,"Authorstring":"Box, J.E.; Hubbard, A.; Bahr, D.B.; Colgan, W.T.; Fettweis, X.; Mankoff, K.D.; Wehrlé, A.; Noël, B.; van den Broeke, M.R.; Wouters, B.; Björk, A.A.; Fausto, R.S.","OrigTitleTranslFlag":0,"Authorstringtrunc":"Box, J.E. <i>et al.</i>","Englishabstract":"Ice loss from the Greenland ice sheet is one of the largest sources of contemporary sea-level rise (SLR). While process-based models place timescales on Greenland’s deglaciation, their confidence is obscured by model shortcomings including imprecise atmospheric and oceanic couplings. Here, we present a complementary approach resolving ice sheet disequilibrium with climate constrained by satellite-derived bare-ice extent, tidewater sector ice flow discharge and surface mass balance data. We find that Greenland ice imbalance with the recent (2000–2019) climate commits at least 274 ± 68 mm SLR from 59 ± 15 × 103 km2 ice retreat, equivalent to 3.3 ± 0.9% volume loss, regardless of twenty-first-century climate pathways. This is a result of increasing mass turnover from precipitation, ice flow discharge and meltwater run-off. The high-melt year of 2012 applied in perpetuity yields an ice loss commitment of 782 ± 135 mm SLR, serving as an ominous prognosis for Greenland’s trajectory through a twenty-first century of warming.","AbstractOtherLang":null,"BibLvlCode":"AS","StandardTitle":"Greenland ice sheet climate disequilibrium and committed sea-level rise","OrigTitleLangCode":"en","OrigTitleLangCodeExtended":"eng","OrigTitleLangID":15,"DateLastModified":{"date":"2026-04-19 01:32:17.424137","timezone_type":1,"timezone":"+02:00"},"UserAccessRight":null,"UserAccID":null,"AuthorKeywords":null,"OtherDescriptors":null,"Notes":null,"AnaPub":2022,"MonPub":null,"DateUpdate":"2022-09-15","DateCreate":"2022-09-15","SecASFANote":null,"ConfID":null,"PeerRev":1,"VlizCoreFlag":1,"WoScode":"WOS:000847259100003","VABBcode":null,"OpenAcc":1,"DOI":"10.1038/s41558-022-01441-2"},"refs":null,"anarec":{"AnaID":355448,"PubliDate":2022,"Pagination":"808-813","XtraPublOfAnaID":null,"ISBN":null,"Volume":"12","Issue":"9","BRefMon":null,"BRefMonRR":null,"BRefXtra":null,"BRefXtraRR":null,"SerBRefID":218223,"SerRR":"Nature Climate Change. 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