Document of bibliographic reference 366512
BibliographicReference record
- Type
- Bibliographic resource
- Type of document
- Journal article
- BibLvlCode
- AS
- Title
- Impacts of marine heatwaves on top predator distributions are variable but predictable
- Abstract
- Marine heatwaves cause widespread environmental, biological, and socio-economic impacts, placing them at the forefront of 21st-century management challenges. However, heatwaves vary in intensity and evolution, and a paucity of information on how this variability impacts marine species limits our ability to proactively manage for these extreme events. Here, we model the effects of four recent heatwaves (2014, 2015, 2019, 2020) in the Northeastern Pacific on the distributions of 14 top predator species of ecological, cultural, and commercial importance. Predicted responses were highly variable across species and heatwaves, ranging from near total loss of habitat to a two-fold increase. Heatwaves rapidly altered political bio-geographies, with up to 10% of predicted habitat across all species shifting jurisdictions during individual heatwaves. The variability in predicted responses across species and heatwaves portends the need for novel management solutions that can rapidly respond to extreme climate events. As proof-of-concept, we developed an operational dynamic ocean management tool that predicts predator distributions and responses to extreme conditions in near real-time.
- WebOfScience code
- https://www.webofscience.com/wos/woscc/full-record/WOS:001063751200016
- Bibliographic citation
- Welch, H.; Savoca, M.S.; Brodie, S.; Jacox, M.G.; Muhling, B.A.; Clay, T.A.; Cimino, M.A.; Benson, S.R.; Block, B.A.; Conners, M.G.; Costa, D.P.; Jordan, F.D.; Leising, A.W.; Mikles, C.S.; Palacios, D.M.; Shaffer, S.A.; Thorne, L.H.; Watson, J.T.; Holser, R.R.; Dewitt, L.; Bograd, S.J.; Hazen, E.L. (2023). Impacts of marine heatwaves on top predator distributions are variable but predictable. Nature Comm. 14(1): 5188. https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-40849-y
- Topic
- Marine
- Is peer reviewed
- true
- Access rights
- open access
- Is accessible for free
- true
Authors
- author
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- Name
- Heather Welch
- author
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- Name
- Matthew Savoca
- author
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- Name
- Stephanie Brodie
- author
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- Name
- Michael Jacox
- author
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- Name
- Barbara Muhling
- author
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- Name
- Thomas Clay
- author
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- Name
- Megan Cimino
- author
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- Name
- Scott Benson
- author
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- Name
- Barbara Block
- author
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- Name
- Melinda Conners
- author
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- Name
- Daniel Costa
- author
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- Name
- Fredrick Jordan
- author
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- Name
- Andrew Leising
- author
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- Name
- Chloe Mikles
- author
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- Name
- Daniel Palacios
- author
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- Name
- Scott Shaffer
- author
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- Name
- Lesley Thorne
- author
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- Name
- Jordan Watson
- author
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- Name
- Rachel Holser
- author
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- Name
- Lynn Dewitt
- author
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- Name
- Steven Bograd
- author
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- Name
- Elliott Hazen