{"refrec":{"BRefID":368749,"RR":"<b>Bertola, Miriam; Blöschl, Günter; Bohac, Milon; Borga, Marco; Castellarin, Attilio; Chirico, Giovanni B.; Claps, Pierluigi; Dallan, Eleonora; Danilovich, Irina; Ganora, Daniele; Gorbachova, Liudmyla; Ledvinka, Ondrej; Mavrova-Guirguinova, Maria; Montanari, Alberto; Ovcharuk, Valeriya; Viglione, Alberto; Volpi, Elena; Arheimer, Berit; Aronica, Giuseppe Tito; Bonacci, Ognjen; Čanjevac, Ivan; Csik, Andras; Frolova, Natalia; Gnandt, Boglarka; Gribovszki, Zoltan; Gül, Ali; Günther, Knut; Guse, Björn; Hannaford, Jamie; Harrigan, Shaun; Kireeva, Maria; Kohnová, Silvia; Komma, Jürgen; Kriauciuniene, Jurate; Kronvang, Brian; Lawrence, Deborah; Lüdtke, Stefan; Mediero, Luis; Merz, Bruno; Molnar, Peter; Murphy, Conor; Oskoruš, Dijana; Osuch, Marzena; Parajka, Juraj; Pfister, Laurent; Radevski, Ivan; Sauquet, Eric; Schröter, Kai; Šraj, Mojca; Szolgay, Jan; Turner, Stephen; Valent, Peter; Veijalainen, Noora; Ward, Philip J.; Willems, Patrick; Zivkovic, Nenad</b> (2023). Megafloods in Europe can be anticipated from observations in hydrologically similar catchments. <i>Nature Geoscience 16(11)</i>: 982-988. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01300-5\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01300-5</a>","BEntID":366475,"PublicFlag":1,"CheckedFlag":0,"wosflag":1,"vabbflag":1,"RefStringPartII":". <i>Nature Geoscience 16(11)</i>: 982-988. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01300-5\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01300-5</a>","DocTypID":8,"DocType":"Journal article","MarineFlag":0,"FreshFlag":0,"BrackishFlag":0,"TerrestrialFlag":0,"Authorstring":"Bertola, Miriam; Blöschl, Günter; Bohac, Milon; Borga, Marco; Castellarin, Attilio; Chirico, Giovanni B.; Claps, Pierluigi; Dallan, Eleonora; Danilovich, Irina; Ganora, Daniele; Gorbachova, Liudmyla; Ledvinka, Ondrej; Mavrova-Guirguinova, Maria; Montanari, Alberto; Ovcharuk, Valeriya; Viglione, Alberto; Volpi, Elena; Arheimer, Berit; Aronica, Giuseppe Tito; Bonacci, Ognjen; Čanjevac, Ivan; Csik, Andras; Frolova, Natalia; Gnandt, Boglarka; Gribovszki, Zoltan; Gül, Ali; Günther, Knut; Guse, Björn; Hannaford, Jamie; Harrigan, Shaun; Kireeva, Maria; Kohnová, Silvia; Komma, Jürgen; Kriauciuniene, Jurate; Kronvang, Brian; Lawrence, Deborah; Lüdtke, Stefan; Mediero, Luis; Merz, Bruno; Molnar, Peter; Murphy, Conor; Oskoruš, Dijana; Osuch, Marzena; Parajka, Juraj; Pfister, Laurent; Radevski, Ivan; Sauquet, Eric; Schröter, Kai; Šraj, Mojca; Szolgay, Jan; Turner, Stephen; Valent, Peter; Veijalainen, Noora; Ward, Philip J.; Willems, Patrick; Zivkovic, Nenad","OrigTitleTranslFlag":0,"Authorstringtrunc":"Bertola, Miriam <i>et al.</i>","Englishabstract":"Megafloods that far exceed previously observed records often take citizens and experts by surprise, resulting in extremely severe damage and loss of life. Existing methods based on local and regional information rarely go beyond national borders and cannot predict these floods well because of limited data on megafloods, and because flood generation processes of extremes differ from those of smaller, more frequently observed events. Here we analyse river discharge observations from over 8,000 gauging stations across Europe and show that recent megafloods could have been anticipated from those previously observed in other places in Europe. Almost all observed megafloods (95.5%) fall within the envelope values estimated from previous floods in other similar places on the continent, implying that local surprises are not surprising at the continental scale. This holds also for older events, indicating that megafloods have not changed much in time relative to their spatial variability. The underlying concept of the study is that catchments with similar flood generation processes produce similar outliers. It is thus essential to transcend national boundaries and learn from other places across the continent to avoid surprises and save lives.","AbstractOtherLang":null,"BibLvlCode":"AS","StandardTitle":"Megafloods in Europe can be anticipated from observations in hydrologically similar catchments","OrigTitleLangCode":"en","OrigTitleLangCodeExtended":"eng","OrigTitleLangID":15,"DateLastModified":{"date":"2024-12-10 01:33:17.368041","timezone_type":1,"timezone":"+01:00"},"UserAccessRight":null,"UserAccID":null,"AuthorKeywords":null,"OtherDescriptors":null,"Notes":null,"AnaPub":2023,"MonPub":null,"DateUpdate":"2024-03-25","DateCreate":"2023-11-13","SecASFANote":null,"ConfID":null,"PeerRev":1,"VlizCoreFlag":1,"WoScode":"WOS:001099019500003","VABBcode":null,"OpenAcc":0,"DOI":"10.1038/s41561-023-01300-5"},"refs":null,"anarec":{"AnaID":368749,"PubliDate":2023,"Pagination":"982-988","XtraPublOfAnaID":null,"ISBN":null,"Volume":"16","Issue":"11","BRefMon":null,"BRefMonRR":null,"BRefXtra":null,"BRefXtraRR":null,"SerBRefID":123796,"SerRR":"Nature Geoscience. Nature Publishing Group: London.  ISSN 1752-0894; e-ISSN 1752-0908","StandardTitleSer":"Nature Geoscience","ISSN":"1752-0894","AbbrevSer":"Nature Geoscience","StandardTitleMon":null,"StartPage":982,"Pages":7,"ToPubliDate":null,"BRefBibLvlCode":"S","SerNotes":null},"monrec":null,"serrec":null,"relations":[{"YBRefID":368748,"RefStrFull":"(2023). Locally surprising megafloods in Europe can be anticipated from continent-wide observations. <i>Nature Geoscience 16(11)</i>: 942-943. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01301-4\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01301-4</a>","RelID":4,"Relation":"Related to","StandardTitle":"Locally surprising megafloods in Europe can be anticipated from continent-wide observations"}],"relationsRev":null,"addrec":null,"othpubs":null,"ownerships":null,"authors":[{"AutName":"Willems","Firstname":"Patrick","Initials":"P.","Affiliation":"Department of Civil Engineering, KU Leuven","Discriminator":null,"CorporateFlag":0,"BEntID":366475,"AutID":326884,"OrderNr":1,"DegrID":null,"EditorFlag":0,"CorrespFlag":0,"IllustratorFlag":0,"ReviserFlag":0,"TranslatorFlag":0,"InsAcronym":"BWK","InsFSN":"Katholieke Universiteit Leuven; Departement Burgerlijke Bouwkunde","ORCID":"0000-0002-7085-2570","PersID":2647,"InsID":4670}],"mapdetails":null,"datasets":null,"monographs":null,"monparts":null,"serparts":null,"BEntOpen":null,"BEntPrivate":null,"availability":[{"BInstID":394035,"LibID":36,"BRefID":368749,"EmbargoDate":null,"FullEmbargoDate":null,"PhysMedID":16,"hasOCRd":null,"ShelfLocCode":"394035","RFID":null,"PaidValue":null,"Medium":"Server","Description":"Interne VLIZ documenten","Acronym":"VLIZ","Library":"Vlaams Instituut voor de Zee","DutchTerm":"Non-open access","URL":null,"ClassifID":228,"Classification":"Non-open access","ReqLink":1,"ClassifTypID":3,"URLLocation":"https://www.vliz.be/imisdocs/publications/","SubDir":1,"InternalReq":1,"LoggedInReq":1,"Disclaimer":"Disclaimer_VLIZ_Intern","DutchDisclaimer":"<p>Deze publicatie is enkel beschikbaar voor persoonlijk gebruik binnen de Innovocean site <br />en mag op geen enkele manier verder worden verspreid.</p>","FileFormat":".pdf","FileDescr":"pdf","InsPub":1,"InsID":36,"FileFormID":6,"LendableFlag":1,"PublicFlag":1,"orderLib":"A","Notes":null,"AccConID":null,"AccessConstraint":null,"LicURL":null}],"litstyles":null,"thespers":null,"arch2discl":null,"SERpubls":[{"PublName":"Nature Publishing Group","City":"London"}],"MONpubls":null,"pictures":[],"thestermsPath":null,"thestermsASFA":null,"taxtermsASFA":null,"geotermsASFA":null,"collections":null,"conf":null,"proj":null,"Physdatasets":null,"spcols":null,"doi":null,"publs":null,"serparttypes":null,"monauthors":null,"MParts":null,"SParts":null,"hLibs":null,"langs":[{"BEntID":366475,"AbstractFlag":0,"LangID":15,"LangCode":"en","Lang":"English","DutchTerm":"Engels","LangCodeExtended":"eng"},{"BEntID":366475,"AbstractFlag":1,"LangID":15,"LangCode":"en","Lang":"English","DutchTerm":"Engels","LangCodeExtended":"eng"}],"urls":[{"URL":"https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01300-5","externalID":"10.1038/s41561-023-01300-5","URLTypeCode":"DOI","URLID":121031,"URLTypID":13,"URLType":"DOI","URLPrefix":"http://dx.doi.org/"}],"thesterms":null,"taxterms":null,"geoterms":null,"othterms":null,"asfacodes":null,"asfa2codes":null,"thestermsFRIS":null,"taxtermsFRIS":null,"geotermsFRIS":null,"othtermsFRIS":null,"resmessage":"","complete":1,"sessions":{"newSesName":"Chisala, Chilekwa, C.","newSesDate":{"date":"2023-11-13 08:07:38.263000","timezone_type":3,"timezone":"Europe/Brussels"},"updSesName":"Bouchti, Zohra, Z.","updSesDate":{"date":"2024-03-25 16:15:39.893000","timezone_type":3,"timezone":"Europe/Brussels"}}}