{"refrec":{"BRefID":369534,"RR":"<b>Liu, Y.; Sun, C.; Li, J.; Kucharski, F.; Di Lorenzo, E.; Abid, M.A.; Li, X.</b> (2023). Decadal oscillation provides skillful multiyear predictions of Antarctic sea ice. <i>Nature Comm. 14(1)</i>: 8286. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-44094-1\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-44094-1</a>","BEntID":367264,"PublicFlag":1,"CheckedFlag":0,"wosflag":1,"vabbflag":1,"RefStringPartII":". <i>Nature Comm. 14(1)</i>: 8286. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-44094-1\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-44094-1</a>","DocTypID":8,"DocType":"Journal article","MarineFlag":1,"FreshFlag":0,"BrackishFlag":0,"TerrestrialFlag":0,"Authorstring":"Liu, Y.; Sun, C.; Li, J.; Kucharski, F.; Di Lorenzo, E.; Abid, M.A.; Li, X.","OrigTitleTranslFlag":0,"Authorstringtrunc":"Liu, Y. <i>et al.</i>","Englishabstract":"Over the satellite era, Antarctic sea ice exhibited an overall long-term increasing trend, contrary to the Arctic reduction under global warming. However, the drastic decline of Antarctic sea ice in 2014–2018 raises questions about its interannual and decadal-scale variabilities, which are poorly understood and predicted. Here, we identify an Antarctic sea ice decadal oscillation, exhibiting a quasi-period of 8–16 years, that is anticorrelated with the Pacific Quasi-Decadal Oscillation (<i>r</i> = −0.90). By combining observations, Coupled Model Intercomparison Project historical simulations, and pacemaker climate model experiments, we find evidence that the synchrony between the sea ice decadal oscillation and Pacific Quasi-Decadal Oscillation is linked to atmospheric poleward-propagating Rossby wave trains excited by heating in the central tropical Pacific. These waves weaken the Amundsen Sea Low, melting sea ice due to enhanced shortwave radiation and warm advection. A Pacific Quasi-Decadal Oscillation-based regression model shows that this tropical-polar teleconnection carries multi-year predictability.","AbstractOtherLang":null,"BibLvlCode":"AS","StandardTitle":"Decadal oscillation provides skillful multiyear predictions of Antarctic sea ice","OrigTitleLangCode":"en","OrigTitleLangCodeExtended":"eng","OrigTitleLangID":15,"DateLastModified":{"date":"2026-06-13 01:32:03.466616","timezone_type":1,"timezone":"+02:00"},"UserAccessRight":null,"UserAccID":null,"AuthorKeywords":null,"OtherDescriptors":null,"Notes":null,"AnaPub":2023,"MonPub":null,"DateUpdate":"2023-12-11","DateCreate":"2023-12-11","SecASFANote":null,"ConfID":null,"PeerRev":1,"VlizCoreFlag":1,"WoScode":null,"VABBcode":null,"OpenAcc":1,"DOI":"10.1038/s41467-023-44094-1"},"refs":null,"anarec":{"AnaID":369534,"PubliDate":2023,"Pagination":"8286","XtraPublOfAnaID":null,"ISBN":null,"Volume":"14","Issue":"1","BRefMon":null,"BRefMonRR":null,"BRefXtra":null,"BRefXtraRR":null,"SerBRefID":198717,"SerRR":"Nature Communications. 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