{"refrec":{"BRefID":383525,"RR":"<b>Oelsmann, J.; Marcos, M.; Passaro, M.; Sanchez, L.; Dettmering, D.; Dangendorf, S.; Seitz, F.</b> (2024). Regional variations in relative sea-level changes influenced by nonlinear vertical land motion. <i>Nature Geoscience 17(2)</i>: 137-144. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01357-2\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01357-2</a>","BEntID":381271,"PublicFlag":1,"CheckedFlag":0,"wosflag":1,"vabbflag":1,"RefStringPartII":". <i>Nature Geoscience 17(2)</i>: 137-144. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01357-2\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01357-2</a>","DocTypID":8,"DocType":"Journal article","MarineFlag":1,"FreshFlag":0,"BrackishFlag":0,"TerrestrialFlag":0,"Authorstring":"Oelsmann, J.; Marcos, M.; Passaro, M.; Sanchez, L.; Dettmering, D.; Dangendorf, S.; Seitz, F.","OrigTitleTranslFlag":0,"Authorstringtrunc":"Oelsmann, J. <i>et al.</i>","Englishabstract":"Vertical land movements can cause regional relative sea-level changes to differ substantially from climate-driven absolute sea-level changes. Whereas absolute sea level has been accurately monitored by satellite altimetry since 1992, there are limited observations of vertical land motion. Vertical land motion is generally modelled as a linear process, despite some evidence of nonlinear motion associated with tectonic activity, changes in surface loading or groundwater extraction. As a result, the temporal evolution of vertical land motion, and its contribution to projected sea-level rise and its uncertainty, remains unresolved. Here we generate a probabilistic vertical land motion reconstruction from 1995 to 2020 to determine the impact of regional-scale and nonlinear vertical land motion on relative sea-level projections up to 2150. We show that regional variations in projected coastal sea-level changes are equally influenced by vertical land motion and climate-driven processes, with vertical land motion driving relative sea-level changes of up to 50 cm by 2150. Accounting for nonlinear vertical land motion increases the uncertainty in projections by up to 1 m on a regional scale. Our results highlight the uncertainty in future coastal impacts and demonstrate the importance of including nonlinear vertical land motions in sea-level change projections.","AbstractOtherLang":null,"BibLvlCode":"AS","StandardTitle":"Regional variations in relative sea-level changes influenced by nonlinear vertical land motion","OrigTitleLangCode":"en","OrigTitleLangCodeExtended":"eng","OrigTitleLangID":15,"DateLastModified":{"date":"2024-12-10 01:33:17.368041","timezone_type":1,"timezone":"+01:00"},"UserAccessRight":null,"UserAccID":null,"AuthorKeywords":null,"OtherDescriptors":null,"Notes":null,"AnaPub":2024,"MonPub":null,"DateUpdate":"2024-02-26","DateCreate":"2024-02-26","SecASFANote":null,"ConfID":null,"PeerRev":1,"VlizCoreFlag":1,"WoScode":null,"VABBcode":null,"OpenAcc":1,"DOI":"10.1038/s41561-023-01357-2"},"refs":null,"anarec":{"AnaID":383525,"PubliDate":2024,"Pagination":"137-144","XtraPublOfAnaID":null,"ISBN":null,"Volume":"17","Issue":"2","BRefMon":null,"BRefMonRR":null,"BRefXtra":null,"BRefXtraRR":null,"SerBRefID":123796,"SerRR":"Nature Geoscience. 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ISSN 1752-0894; e-ISSN 1752-0908","StandardTitleSer":"Nature Geoscience","ISSN":"1752-0894","AbbrevSer":"Nature Geoscience","StandardTitleMon":null,"StartPage":137,"Pages":8,"ToPubliDate":null,"BRefBibLvlCode":"S","SerNotes":null},"monrec":null,"serrec":null,"relations":null,"relationsRev":null,"addrec":null,"othpubs":null,"ownerships":null,"authors":[{"AutName":"Oelsmann","Firstname":"Julius","Initials":"J.","Affiliation":null,"Discriminator":null,"CorporateFlag":0,"BEntID":381271,"AutID":558315,"OrderNr":1,"DegrID":null,"EditorFlag":0,"CorrespFlag":0,"IllustratorFlag":0,"ReviserFlag":0,"TranslatorFlag":0,"InsAcronym":null,"InsFSN":null,"ORCID":null,"PersID":null,"InsID":null},{"AutName":"Marcos","Firstname":"Marta","Initials":"M.","Affiliation":null,"Discriminator":null,"CorporateFlag":0,"BEntID":381271,"AutID":154426,"OrderNr":2,"DegrID":null,"EditorFlag":0,"CorrespFlag":0,"IllustratorFlag":0,"ReviserFlag":0,"TranslatorFlag":0,"InsAcronym":null,"InsFSN":null,"ORCID":null,"PersID":null,"InsID":null},{"AutName":"Passaro","Firstname":"Marcello","Initials":"M.","Affiliation":null,"Discriminator":null,"CorporateFlag":0,"BEntID":381271,"AutID":441221,"OrderNr":3,"DegrID":null,"EditorFlag":0,"CorrespFlag":0,"IllustratorFlag":0,"ReviserFlag":0,"TranslatorFlag":0,"InsAcronym":null,"InsFSN":null,"ORCID":null,"PersID":null,"InsID":null},{"AutName":"Sanchez","Firstname":"Laura","Initials":"L.","Affiliation":null,"Discriminator":null,"CorporateFlag":0,"BEntID":381271,"AutID":558318,"OrderNr":4,"DegrID":null,"EditorFlag":0,"CorrespFlag":0,"IllustratorFlag":0,"ReviserFlag":0,"TranslatorFlag":0,"InsAcronym":null,"InsFSN":null,"ORCID":null,"PersID":null,"InsID":null},{"AutName":"Dettmering","Firstname":"Denise","Initials":"D.","Affiliation":null,"Discriminator":null,"CorporateFlag":0,"BEntID":381271,"AutID":441222,"OrderNr":5,"DegrID":null,"EditorFlag":0,"CorrespFlag":0,"IllustratorFlag":0,"ReviserFlag":0,"TranslatorFlag":0,"InsAcronym":null,"InsFSN":null,"ORCID":null,"PersID":null,"InsID":null},{"AutName":"Dangendorf","Firstname":"Sönke","Initials":"S.","Affiliation":null,"Discriminator":null,"CorporateFlag":0,"BEntID":381271,"AutID":233084,"OrderNr":6,"DegrID":null,"EditorFlag":0,"CorrespFlag":0,"IllustratorFlag":0,"ReviserFlag":0,"TranslatorFlag":0,"InsAcronym":null,"InsFSN":null,"ORCID":null,"PersID":null,"InsID":null},{"AutName":"Seitz","Firstname":"Florian","Initials":"F.","Affiliation":null,"Discriminator":null,"CorporateFlag":0,"BEntID":381271,"AutID":457228,"OrderNr":7,"DegrID":null,"EditorFlag":0,"CorrespFlag":0,"IllustratorFlag":0,"ReviserFlag":0,"TranslatorFlag":0,"InsAcronym":null,"InsFSN":null,"ORCID":null,"PersID":null,"InsID":null}],"mapdetails":null,"datasets":null,"monographs":null,"monparts":null,"serparts":null,"BEntOpen":null,"BEntPrivate":null,"availability":[{"BInstID":396661,"LibID":36,"BRefID":383525,"EmbargoDate":null,"FullEmbargoDate":null,"PhysMedID":16,"hasOCRd":1,"ShelfLocCode":"396661","RFID":null,"PaidValue":null,"Medium":"Server","Description":"VLIZ Open Access","Acronym":"VLIZ","Library":"Vlaams Instituut voor de Zee","DutchTerm":"Open access","URL":null,"ClassifID":53,"Classification":"Open access","ReqLink":null,"ClassifTypID":1,"URLLocation":"https://www.vliz.be/imisdocs/publications/","SubDir":null,"InternalReq":0,"LoggedInReq":0,"Disclaimer":null,"DutchDisclaimer":null,"FileFormat":".pdf","FileDescr":"pdf","InsPub":1,"InsID":36,"FileFormID":6,"LendableFlag":1,"PublicFlag":1,"orderLib":"A","Notes":null,"AccConID":null,"AccessConstraint":null,"LicURL":null}],"litstyles":null,"thespers":null,"arch2discl":null,"SERpubls":[{"PublName":"Nature Publishing Group","City":"London"}],"MONpubls":null,"pictures":[],"thestermsPath":null,"thestermsASFA":null,"taxtermsASFA":null,"geotermsASFA":null,"collections":null,"conf":null,"proj":null,"Physdatasets":null,"spcols":null,"doi":null,"publs":null,"serparttypes":null,"monauthors":null,"MParts":null,"SParts":null,"hLibs":null,"langs":[{"BEntID":381271,"AbstractFlag":0,"LangID":15,"LangCode":"en","Lang":"English","DutchTerm":"Engels","LangCodeExtended":"eng"},{"BEntID":381271,"AbstractFlag":1,"LangID":15,"LangCode":"en","Lang":"English","DutchTerm":"Engels","LangCodeExtended":"eng"}],"urls":[{"URL":"https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01357-2","externalID":"10.1038/s41561-023-01357-2","URLTypeCode":"DOI","URLID":128772,"URLTypID":13,"URLType":"DOI","URLPrefix":"http://dx.doi.org/"}],"thesterms":null,"taxterms":null,"geoterms":null,"othterms":null,"asfacodes":null,"asfa2codes":null,"thestermsFRIS":null,"taxtermsFRIS":null,"geotermsFRIS":null,"othtermsFRIS":null,"resmessage":"","complete":1,"sessions":{"newSesName":"Chisala, Chilekwa, C.","newSesDate":{"date":"2024-02-26 08:46:16.763000","timezone_type":3,"timezone":"Europe/Brussels"},"updSesName":"Chisala, Chilekwa, C.","updSesDate":{"date":"2024-02-26 08:46:16.763000","timezone_type":3,"timezone":"Europe/Brussels"}}}