{"refrec":{"BRefID":392397,"RR":"<b>de Winter, N.J.; Tindall, J.; Johnson, A.L.A.; Goudsmit-Harzevoort, B.; Wichern, N.; Kaskes, P.; Claeys, P.; Huygen, F.; van Leeuwen, S.; Metcalfe, B.; Bakker, P.; Goolaerts, S.; Wesselingh, F.P.; Ziegler, M.</b> (2024). Amplified seasonality in western Europe in a warmer world. <i>Science Advances 10(20)</i>: eadl6717. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adl6717\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adl6717</a>","BEntID":390159,"PublicFlag":1,"CheckedFlag":1,"wosflag":1,"vabbflag":0,"RefStringPartII":". <i>Science Advances 10(20)</i>: eadl6717. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adl6717\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adl6717</a>","DocTypID":8,"DocType":"Journal article","MarineFlag":1,"FreshFlag":0,"BrackishFlag":0,"TerrestrialFlag":0,"Authorstring":"de Winter, N.J.; Tindall, J.; Johnson, A.L.A.; Goudsmit-Harzevoort, B.; Wichern, N.; Kaskes, P.; Claeys, P.; Huygen, F.; van Leeuwen, S.; Metcalfe, B.; Bakker, P.; Goolaerts, S.; Wesselingh, F.P.; Ziegler, M.","OrigTitleTranslFlag":0,"Authorstringtrunc":"de Winter, N.J. <i>et al.</i>","Englishabstract":"Documenting the seasonal temperature cycle constitutes an essential step toward mitigating risks associated with extreme weather events in a future warmer world. The mid-Piacenzian Warm Period (mPWP), 3.3 to 3.0 million years ago, featured global temperatures approximately 3°C above preindustrial levels. It represents an ideal period for directed paleoclimate reconstructions equivalent to model projections for 2100 under moderate Shared Socioeconomic Pathway SSP2-4.5. Here, seasonal clumped isotope analyses of fossil mollusk shells from the North Sea are presented to test Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project 2 outcomes. Joint data and model evidence reveals enhanced summer warming (+4.3° ± 1.0°C) compared to winter (+2.5° ± 1.5°C) during the mPWP, equivalent to SSP2-4.5 outcomes for future climate. We show that Arctic amplification of global warming weakens mid-latitude summer circulation while intensifying seasonal contrast in temperature and precipitation, leading to an increased risk of summer heat waves and other extreme weather events in Europe’s future.","AbstractOtherLang":null,"BibLvlCode":"AS","StandardTitle":"Amplified seasonality in western Europe in a warmer world","OrigTitleLangCode":"en","OrigTitleLangCodeExtended":"eng","OrigTitleLangID":15,"DateLastModified":{"date":"2025-09-25 01:36:50.712317","timezone_type":1,"timezone":"+02:00"},"UserAccessRight":null,"UserAccID":null,"AuthorKeywords":"ARAGONITIC BIVALVE SHELLS;SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE;NORTH-SEA;ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION;PLIOMIP2 SIMULATIONS;ARCTIC AMPLIFICATION;MARINE HEATWAVES;SUMMER DROUGHT;WADDEN SEA;PLIOCENE","OtherDescriptors":null,"Notes":null,"AnaPub":2024,"MonPub":null,"DateUpdate":"2025-09-18","DateCreate":"2024-05-21","SecASFANote":null,"ConfID":null,"PeerRev":1,"VlizCoreFlag":1,"WoScode":"WOS:001223256500018","VABBcode":null,"OpenAcc":1,"DOI":"10.1126/sciadv.adl6717"},"refs":null,"anarec":{"AnaID":392397,"PubliDate":2024,"Pagination":"eadl6717","XtraPublOfAnaID":null,"ISBN":null,"Volume":"10","Issue":"20","BRefMon":null,"BRefMonRR":null,"BRefXtra":null,"BRefXtraRR":null,"SerBRefID":248966,"SerRR":"Science Advances. 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