{"refrec":{"BRefID":404856,"RR":"<b>Lachs, L.; Bozec, Y.-M.; Bythell, J.C.; Donner, S.D.; East, H.K.; Edwards, A.J.; Golbuu, Y.; Gouezo, M.; Guest, J.R.; Humanes, A.; Riginos, C.; Mumby, P.J.</b> (2024). Natural selection could determine whether <i>Acropora</i> corals persist under expected climate change. <i>Science (Wash.) 386(6727)</i>: 1289-1294. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.adl6480\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.adl6480</a>","BEntID":402649,"PublicFlag":1,"CheckedFlag":0,"wosflag":1,"vabbflag":1,"RefStringPartII":". <i>Science (Wash.) 386(6727)</i>: 1289-1294. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.adl6480\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.adl6480</a>","DocTypID":8,"DocType":"Journal article","MarineFlag":1,"FreshFlag":0,"BrackishFlag":0,"TerrestrialFlag":0,"Authorstring":"Lachs, L.; Bozec, Y.-M.; Bythell, J.C.; Donner, S.D.; East, H.K.; Edwards, A.J.; Golbuu, Y.; Gouezo, M.; Guest, J.R.; Humanes, A.; Riginos, C.; Mumby, P.J.","OrigTitleTranslFlag":0,"Authorstringtrunc":"Lachs, L. <i>et al.</i>","Englishabstract":"Marine heatwaves are intensifying under climate change, exposing populations of reef-building corals to mass mortality and intense selective pressure. It remains unknown whether adaptation can keep pace with warming and maintain reef functioning. We have developed an eco-evolutionary metapopulation model for <i>Acropora</i>, an ecologically important yet thermally sensitive coral taxon. We found that, although corals have some adaptation capacity, they will suffer severe heatwave-induced declines over the coming decades. For a future in which emissions lead to ~3°C of global warming, natural selection could allow populations to persist, albeit in severely depleted states with elevated extinction risk and potential loss of ecosystem functioning. 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