{"refrec":{"BRefID":409130,"RR":"<b>Willems, P.; Huybrechts, P.; Pattyn, F.; Peeters, P.</b> (2024). Zeespiegelstijging voor Vlaanderen – Vraag 3. Versnelling zeespiegelstijging langs de Belgische Kust? Versie 4.0. <i>WL Memo's</i>, 21_127_3. Waterbouwkundig Laboratorium: Antwerp. 15 pp. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.48607/327\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.48607/327</a>","BEntID":406935,"PublicFlag":1,"CheckedFlag":0,"wosflag":0,"vabbflag":0,"RefStringPartII":" Versie 4.0. <i>WL Memo's</i>, 21_127_3. Waterbouwkundig Laboratorium: Antwerp.  15 pp. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.48607/327\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.48607/327</a>","DocTypID":13,"DocType":"Reports","MarineFlag":0,"FreshFlag":0,"BrackishFlag":0,"TerrestrialFlag":0,"Authorstring":"Willems, P.; Huybrechts, P.; Pattyn, F.; Peeters, P.","OrigTitleTranslFlag":0,"Authorstringtrunc":"Willems, P. <i>et al.</i>","Englishabstract":null,"AbstractOtherLang":"Deze memo beantwoordt Vraag 3 die werd gesteld aan de werkgroep “Zeespiegelstijging voor Vlaanderen”. Deze vraag werd als volgt geformuleerd:<br>IPCC-AR6 meldt dat de gemiddelde globale zeespiegelstijging is toegenomen van 1,3 mm/jaar (1901-1971) over 1,9 mm/jaar (1971-2006) tot 3,7 mm/jaar tussen 2006 en 2018. Uit een recente analyse door de TU Delft van de metingen van getijdestations langs de Nederlandse kust (onder meer die van Vlissingen) blijkt dat de gemiddelde zeespiegelstijging sinds midden jaren negentig 2.7 ± 0.4 (BI=95%) mm/jaar is. In vergelijking tot de zeventig jaar daarvoor is dat een significante stijging van 1.0 ± 0.5 mm/jaar. Een analyse van Vlaamse tijgegevens enkele jaren terug kon een versnelling misschien niet uitsluiten, bevestigen wilde ze ook niet.<br>• Hoe verhouden bovenvermelde analyses zich tov. elkaar?<br>• Hoe kunnen we zo snel en betrouwbaar mogelijk eventuele versnellingen in zeespiegelstijging detecteren?<br>• Hoe gaan we om met evt. vastgestelde versnellingen en de keuze van een illustratief IPCC-scenario?<br>• Hoe houden we voor Vlaanderen de vinger aan de pols?<br>De volgende experten hebben zich over deze deelvragen gebogen en voorliggende nota opgemaakt:<br>Patrick Willems (trekker)<br>Frank Pattyn<br>Philippe Huybrechts","BibLvlCode":"MS","StandardTitle":"Zeespiegelstijging voor Vlaanderen – Vraag 3. 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