{"refrec":{"BRefID":435796,"RR":"<b>Nauels, A.; Nicholls, Z.; Möller, T.; Hermans, T.H.J.; Mengel, M.; Kloenne, U.; Smith, C.; Slangen, A.B.A.; Palmer, M.D.</b> (2025). Multi-century global and regional sea-level rise commitments from cumulative greenhouse gas emissions in the coming decades. <i>Nat. Clim. Chang. 15(11)</i>: 1198-1204. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02452-5\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02452-5</a>","BEntID":433626,"PublicFlag":1,"CheckedFlag":0,"wosflag":1,"vabbflag":1,"RefStringPartII":". <i>Nat. Clim. Chang. 15(11)</i>: 1198-1204. <a href=\"https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02452-5\" target=\"_blank\">https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02452-5</a>","DocTypID":8,"DocType":"Journal article","MarineFlag":0,"FreshFlag":0,"BrackishFlag":0,"TerrestrialFlag":0,"Authorstring":"Nauels, A.; Nicholls, Z.; Möller, T.; Hermans, T.H.J.; Mengel, M.; Kloenne, U.; Smith, C.; Slangen, A.B.A.; Palmer, M.D.","OrigTitleTranslFlag":0,"Authorstringtrunc":"Nauels, A. <i>et al.</i>","Englishabstract":"Sea levels respond to climate change on timescales from decades to millennia. To isolate the sea-level contribution of historical and near-term GHG emissions, we use a dedicated scenario and modelling framework to quantify global and regional sea-level rise commitments of twenty-first century cumulative emissions. Under current climate policies, emissions until 2050 lock in 0.3 m (likely range 0.2–0.5 m) more global mean sea-level rise by 2300 than historical emissions until 2020. This additional commitment would grow to 0.8 m (0.5–1.4 m) for emissions until 2090, of which 0.6 m (0.4–1.1 m) could be avoided under very stringent mitigation. Resulting regional commitments would be around 10% higher than the global signal for the vulnerable Pacific region, mainly due to higher relative Antarctic contributions. Our work shows that multi-century sea-level rise commitments are strongly controlled by mitigation decisions in coming decades.","AbstractOtherLang":null,"BibLvlCode":"AS","StandardTitle":"Multi-century global and regional sea-level rise commitments from cumulative greenhouse gas emissions in the coming decades","OrigTitleLangCode":"en","OrigTitleLangCodeExtended":"eng","OrigTitleLangID":15,"DateLastModified":{"date":"2026-06-10 01:33:03.512175","timezone_type":1,"timezone":"+02:00"},"UserAccessRight":null,"UserAccID":null,"AuthorKeywords":null,"OtherDescriptors":null,"Notes":null,"AnaPub":2025,"MonPub":null,"DateUpdate":"2026-02-12","DateCreate":"2025-11-06","SecASFANote":null,"ConfID":null,"PeerRev":1,"VlizCoreFlag":1,"WoScode":null,"VABBcode":null,"OpenAcc":1,"DOI":"10.1038/s41558-025-02452-5"},"refs":null,"anarec":{"AnaID":435796,"PubliDate":2025,"Pagination":"1198-1204","XtraPublOfAnaID":null,"ISBN":null,"Volume":"15","Issue":"11","BRefMon":null,"BRefMonRR":null,"BRefXtra":null,"BRefXtraRR":null,"SerBRefID":218223,"SerRR":"Nature Climate Change. 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