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The results showed that surface heat fluxes were the most important factor contributing to temperature variability on seasonal and interannual time-scales; fluctuations of temperature outside the region and variation of the flow through the English Channel were considerably less important. The importance of surface heating in the English Channel to the heat budget of the Southern Bight is shown. Estimates of latent heat flux were reliable enough to examine only seasonal changes. The heat fluxes which had most effect on temperatures from year to year in each region were insolation in all seasons (i.e. cloud cover) and sensible heat flux in the winter. 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