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Future changes in seasonal sea-level variability could reshape coastal ecosystems
Hermans, T.H.J.; Fivash, G.S.; van Belzen, J. (2026). Future changes in seasonal sea-level variability could reshape coastal ecosystems. Nat. Clim. Chang. 16(6): 661-665. https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-026-02631-y
In: Nature Climate Change. Nature Publishing Group: London. ISSN 1758-678X; e-ISSN 1758-6798, more
Peer reviewed article  

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  • Hermans, T.H.J., more
  • Fivash, G.S.
  • van Belzen, J., more

Abstract
    Recent projections indicate widespread increases in seasonal sea-level variability. Here, using a conceptual model, we show that even modest increases in the range of the annual sea-level cycle can alter inundation and emergence frequencies in intertidal zones and shift exposure durations from hours to days, or days to months. Given the environmental stress that this could cause, changes in seasonal sea-level variability should be considered in assessments of coastal ecosystem resilience.

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