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Evidence-based target setting informs blue carbon strategies for nationally determined contributions
Arkema, K.K.; Delevaux, J.M.S.; Silver, J.M.; Winder, S.G.; Schile-Beers, L.M.; Bood, N.; Crooks, S.; Douthwaite, K.; Durham, C.; Hawthorne, P.L.; Hickey, T.; Mattis, C.; Rosado, A.; Ruckelshaus, M.; von Unger, M.; Young, A. (2023). Evidence-based target setting informs blue carbon strategies for nationally determined contributions. Nature Ecology & Evolution 7(7): 1045-1059. https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41559-023-02081-1
In: Nature Ecology & Evolution. Springer Nature. ISSN 2397-334X, more
Related to:
Lester, S.E. (2023). Blue carbon for climate and co-benefits. Nature Ecology & Evolution 7(7): 967-968. https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41559-023-02034-8, more
Peer reviewed article  

Available in  Authors 

Keyword
    Marine/Coastal

Authors  Top 
  • Arkema, K.K.
  • Delevaux, J.M.S.
  • Silver, J.M.
  • Winder, S.G.
  • Schile-Beers, L.M.
  • Bood, N.
  • Crooks, S.
  • Douthwaite, K.
  • Durham, C.
  • Hawthorne, P.L.
  • Hickey, T.
  • Mattis, C.
  • Rosado, A.
  • Ruckelshaus, M.
  • von Unger, M.
  • Young, A.

Abstract
    The magnitude and pace of global climate change demand ambitious and effective implementation of nationally determined contributions (NDCs). Nature-based solutions present an efficient approach to achieving mitigation, adaptation and resilience goals. Yet few nations have quantified the diverse benefits of nature-based solutions to evaluate and select ecosystem targets for their NDCs. Here we report on Belize’s pursuit of innovative, evidence-based target setting by accounting for multiple benefits of blue carbon strategies. Through quantification of carbon storage and sequestration and optimization of co-benefits, we explore time-bound targets and prioritize locations for mangrove protection and restoration. We find increases in carbon benefits with larger mangrove investments, while fisheries, tourism and coastal risk-reduction co-benefits grow initially and then plateau. We identify locations, currently lacking protected status, where prioritizing blue carbon strategies would provide the greatest delivery of co-benefits to communities. These findings informed Belize’s updated NDCs to include an additional 12,000 ha of mangrove protection and 4,000 ha of mangrove restoration, respectively, by 2030. Our study serves as an example for the more than 150 other countries that have the opportunity to enhance greenhouse gas sequestration and climate adaptation by incorporating blue carbon strategies that provide multiple societal benefits into their NDCs.

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