The need for bottom-up assessments of climate risks and adaptation in climate-sensitive regions
Conway, D.; Nicholls, R.J.; Brown, S.; Tebboth, M.G.L.; Adger, W.N.; Ahmad, B.; Biemans, H.; Crick, F.; Lutz, A.F.; De Campos, R.S.; Sad, M.; Singh, C.; Zaroug, M.A.H.; Ludi, E.; New, M.; Wester, P. (2019). The need for bottom-up assessments of climate risks and adaptation in climate-sensitive regions. Nat. Clim. Chang. 9(7): 503-511. https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0502-0
In: Nature Climate Change. Nature Publishing Group: London. ISSN 1758-678X; e-ISSN 1758-6798, more
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| Authors | | Top |
- Conway, D.
- Nicholls, R.J.
- Brown, S.
- Tebboth, M.G.L.
- Adger, W.N.
- Ahmad, B.
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- Biemans, H.
- Crick, F.
- Lutz, A.F.
- De Campos, R.S.
- Sad, M.
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- Singh, C.
- Zaroug, M.A.H.
- Ludi, E.
- New, M.
- Wester, P.
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| Abstract |
Studies of climate change at specific intervals of future warming have primarily been addressed through top-down approaches using climate projections and modelled impacts. In contrast, bottom-up approaches focus on the recent past and present vulnerability. Here, we examine climate signals at different increments of warming and consider the need to reconcile top-down and bottom-up approaches. We synthesise insights from recent studies in three climate-sensitive systems where change is a defining feature of the human-environment system. Whilst top-down and bottom-up approaches generate complementary insights into who and what is at risk, integrating their results is a much-needed step towards developing relevant information to address the needs of immediate adaptation decisions. |
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