Flood risk analysis in the Meuse river basin
Gouverneur, L. (2011). Flood risk analysis in the Meuse river basin, in: Zenz, G. et al. (Ed.) Proceedings of the International Symposium UFRIM - Urban Flood Risk Management: approaches to enhance resilience of communities, 21st-23rd September 2011, Graz, Austria. pp. [1-6] In: Zenz, G.; Hornich, R. (Ed.) (2011). Proceedings of the International Symposium UFRIM - Urban Flood Risk Management: approaches to enhance resilience of communities, 21st-23rd September 2011, Graz, Austria. Graz University of Technology. Verlag der Technischen Universität Graz: Graz. ISBN 978-3-85125-173-9. XVIII, 593 pp., more |
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Abstract | This paper analyses the hydrological effects of climate change on flood risk along river Meuse with a focus on economic damage on the Belgian part of the basin (Wallonia). Nevertheless, the approach is developed in the scope of a transnational effort to achieve consistent flood risk management throughout the international basin of river Meuse. We first review hydrological scenarios which have been developed at the scale of the Meuse basin. Next, we describe how hydraulic modeling has been conducted to produce the necessary flood maps for the subsequent exposure and vulnerability analyses. The risk modeling employing a monetary approach, was performed at a meso-scale using European land use maps (CORINE) and regional geographic database (PLI), aggregated into a set of five damage categories. For each damage category, appropriate damage functions and specific values have been used. In this paper, the focus is set on comparing several approaches to calculate the specific price of the residential land-use category in Wallonia. Through a sensitivity analysis, we show the influence on flood risk of using these different approaches as well as several damage functions and climate change scenarios. |
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