Present, past and future precipitation: Can we trust the models?
Kukla, G. (1990). Present, past and future precipitation: Can we trust the models?, in: Paepe, R. et al. Greenhouse Effect, Sea Level and Drought. Proceedings of the NATO Advanced Research Workshop on Geohydrological Management of Sea Level and Mitigation of Drought, Fuerteventura, Canary Islands (Spain), March 1-7, 1989. NATO ASI Series C: Mathematical and Physical Sciences, 325: pp. 109-114. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-0701-0_6 In: Paepe, R. et al. (Ed.) (1990). Greenhouse Effect, Sea Level and Drought. Proceedings of the NATO Advanced Research Workshop on Geohydrological Management of Sea Level and Mitigation of Drought, Fuerteventura, Canary Islands (Spain), March 1-7, 1989. Digitized reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 1990. NATO ASI Series C: Mathematical and Physical Sciences, 325. Kluwer Academic Publishers: Dordrecht. ISBN 978-94-009-0701-0. xix, 718 pp. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-0701-0, more In: NATO ASI Series C: Mathematical and Physical Sciences. D. Reidel: Dordrecht; Boston; Lancaster. ISSN 0258-2023, more |
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| Abstract | Results of several current atmospheric general circulation models were compared. The models show poor skill in reproducing observed precipitation, and differ considerably in their precipitation forecasts for the doubled CO2 world. Driven by the approximately modified insolation impact, they are unable to simulate an onset of a glaciation. Improved representation of oceanic heat and mass transports is necessary for reliable prediction of future precipitation shifts. |
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